Macroeconomics Formulas (宏观经济学公式)


1. GDP & National Income (GDP 与国民收入核算)

GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)

  • Expenditure approach: spending by households, firms, government, and net exports — 支出法:居民消费、企业投资、政府购买与净出口之和。

GDP = w + r + i + π + T - S

  • Income approach: sum of factor incomes + indirect taxes − subsidies — 收入法:要素收入之和 + 间接税 − 补贴。

GDP = Σ(Output − Intermediate Inputs)

  • Production/value-added approach to avoid double-counting — 生产(增加值)法以避免重复计算。

Nominal GDP = P_t × Q_t

  • Current prices times current quantities (not inflation-adjusted) — 当期价格×当期产量(未剔除通胀)。

Real GDP = P_base × Q_t

  • Base-year prices times current quantities (inflation-adjusted) — 基期价格×当期产量(剔除通胀)。

GDP Deflator = (Nominal GDP / Real GDP) × 100

  • Broad price level for domestically produced goods/services — 衡量国内生产的总体价格水平。

GDP per Capita = GDP / Population

  • Average output/income per person — 人均产出/收入水平。

GNP = GDP + NFIA

  • Adds net factor income from abroad to GDP — 在 GDP 基础上加上来自国外的要素净收入。

NNP = GNP − Depreciation

  • Net output after accounting for capital wear — 扣除折旧后的国民净产出。

NI = NNP − Indirect Taxes + Subsidies

  • Income accruing to factors at market prices — 计入市场价税补后的要素收入总额。

PI = NI − (Corporate Taxes + Retained Earnings + Social Security) + Transfers

  • Income received by persons before personal taxes — 个人获得的税前收入(含转移支付)。

DPI = PI − Personal Taxes

  • Income available for consumption/saving — 扣个人税后的可支配收入。

2. Price Level & Inflation (物价水平与通货膨胀)

CPI = [Σ(P_t × Q_base)] / [Σ(P_base × Q_base)] × 100

  • Fixed-basket consumer price index (Laspeyres) — 固定商品篮子的居民消费价格指数(拉氏)。

PPI = [Σ(P_t^producer × Q_base)] / [Σ(P_base^producer × Q_base)] × 100

  • Producer prices for earlier stages of production — 生产环节价格指数,反映出厂/批发环节。

Laspeyres Index = [Σ(P_t Q_0)] / [Σ(P_0 Q_0)] × 100

  • Base-quantity weights; tends to overstate inflation — 以基期数量为权重,通胀可能偏高。

Paasche Index = [Σ(P_t Q_t)] / [Σ(P_0 Q_t)] × 100

  • Current-quantity weights; tends to understate inflation — 以当期数量为权重,通胀可能偏低。

Fisher Index = √(Laspeyres × Paasche)

  • Geometric mean; balanced measure — 几何平均,平衡两者偏差。

π_t (CPI) = (CPI_t − CPI_{t−1}) / CPI_{t−1} × 100%

  • Inflation rate from CPI changes — 基于 CPI 变动的通胀率。

π_t (Deflator) = (Deflator_t − Deflator_{t−1}) / Deflator_{t−1} × 100%

  • Inflation from GDP deflator — 基于 GDP 平减指数的通胀率。

Real Interest = Nominal Interest − π

  • Ex-post real rate if using realized inflation — 用实际通胀得到的事后实际利率。

3. Unemployment (失业)

u = U / L × 100%

  • Unemployment rate: unemployed share of labor force — 失业率:失业者占劳动力比重。

LFPR = L / WAP × 100%

  • Labor force participation among working-age — 劳动参与率:工作年龄人口中的劳动力占比。

Employment Rate = E / L × 100%

  • Share of labor force employed — 就业率:劳动力中已就业的比例。

Okun’s Law: (Y − Y*) / Y* = −β (u − u*)

  • Output gap moves inversely with unemployment gap — 产出缺口与失业缺口负相关。

Phillips Curve: π = π^e − α (u − u^n) + v

  • Inflation depends on expected inflation, unemployment gap, shocks — 通胀取决于通胀预期、失业差距与供给冲击。

4. Long-Run Growth (长期经济增长)

Δk = s f(k) − (n + δ) k

  • Solow capital accumulation per worker — 索洛模型下人均资本积累方程。

k* = s f(k) / (n + δ)

  • Steady-state capital where Δk = 0 — 稳态资本(资本不再变动)。

MPK = n + δ

  • Golden rule: maximize steady-state consumption — 黄金律:使稳态消费最大化的条件。

g_Y = g_A + α g_K + (1 − α) g_L

  • Growth accounting: tech + capital + labor — 增长核算:技术、资本与劳动贡献之和。

5. Saving, Investment & Finance (储蓄、投资与金融体系)

S = Y_d − C

  • Private saving out of disposable income — 私人部门可支配收入中的储蓄。

NS = (Y − T − C) + (T − G)

  • National saving = private + public — 国民储蓄 = 私人储蓄 + 公共储蓄。

BD = G − T

  • Budget deficit when spending exceeds taxes — 财政赤字:政府支出大于税收。

PS = T − G

  • Public saving when taxes exceed spending — 公共储蓄:税收大于支出。

S − I = NX

  • Open-economy link between saving and trade — 开放经济中储蓄与贸易余额的恒等关系。

6. AD-AS Model (总需求与总供给)

AD: Y = C + I + G + NX

  • Aggregate demand identity for output — 总需求恒等式。

SRAS: P = P^e (1 + λ (Y − Y_n))

  • Price level rises with positive output gap — 价格随正产出缺口而上升(短期)。

LRAS: Y = Y_n

  • Long-run output pinned at potential — 长期产出等于潜在产出。

Output Gap = (Y − Y*) / Y* × 100%

  • Percent deviation from potential output — 实际相对潜在产出的百分比偏离。

7. Multiplier & Consumption (乘数效应与消费)

C = a + b Y_d

  • Consumption: autonomous + MPC × income — 消费 = 自发消费 + MPC × 收入。

MPC = ΔC / ΔY_d

  • Share of extra income consumed — 额外收入用于消费的比例。

MPS = ΔS / ΔY_d

  • Share of extra income saved — 额外收入用于储蓄的比例。

k = 1 / (1 − MPC) = 1 / MPS

  • Investment multiplier of autonomous spending — 自主支出的投资乘数。

k_G = 1 / (1 − MPC)

  • Government spending multiplier — 政府支出乘数。

k_T = − MPC / (1 − MPC)

  • Tax multiplier is negative — 税收乘数为负。

k_balanced = 1

  • Equal ΔG and ΔT raise Y one-for-one — 平衡预算乘数为 1(同增支出与税收)。

8. IS-LM Model (IS-LM 模型)

IS: Y = C(Y − T) + I(r) + G + NX

  • Goods market equilibrium locus — 商品市场均衡曲线。

LM: M / P = L(r, Y)

  • Money market equilibrium locus — 货币市场均衡曲线。

L(r, Y) = k Y − h r

  • Money demand rises with Y, falls with r — 货币需求随收入升、随利率降。

9. Money & Inflation (货币与通胀)

MV = PY

  • Quantity theory: money × velocity = nominal GDP — 货币数量论:货币×流通速度=名义产出。

i = r + π^e

  • Fisher effect for nominal rates — 费雪效应:名义利率由实际利率与预期通胀构成。

π ≈ ΔM − ΔY

  • Approximate inflation from money/output growth — 通胀近似等于货币增速减去产出增速。

10. Open Economy (国际宏观)

S = I + NX

  • Saving finances domestic investment and net exports — 储蓄用于国内投资与净出口。

CA + KA + FA = 0

  • Balance of payments identity — 国际收支恒等式(经常/资本/金融账户和为零)。

CA = NX + NFIA + NTR

  • Current account composition — 经常账户由净出口、海外净要素收入与净转移构成。

(1 + i_d) = (1 + i_f) (F / E)

  • Covered interest parity with forward/spot — 有套期的利率平价:前远期与即期挂钩。

i_d − i_f = (F − E) / E

  • Approximate parity in differences — 近似利差≈远期与即期的相对差。

E_real = (E × P) / P*

  • Real exchange rate: relative price of baskets — 实际汇率:两国物价篮子的相对价格。

Terms of Trade = P_X / P_M × 100

  • Export prices relative to import prices — 出口价格相对进口价格的强弱(×100)。

11. Fiscal Policy & Budget (财政与预算)

BD = G − T

  • Government budget deficit — 政府赤字的定义。

PS = T − G

  • Public saving (negative if deficit) — 公共储蓄(赤字时为负)。

NS = (Y − T − C) + (T − G)

  • National saving identity — 国民储蓄的恒等式。

Fiscal Multiplier = ΔY / ΔG

  • Output response to government purchases — 产出对政府购买的响应强度。

Tax Multiplier = ΔY / ΔT

  • Output response to tax changes — 产出对税收变动的响应强度。

Balanced Budget Multiplier = 1

  • Equal ΔG and ΔT raise Y one-for-one — 同幅增加 G 与 T,使 Y 同幅上升。

12. Labor Market Extensions (劳动力市场扩展)

Real Wage = W / P

  • Purchasing power of wages — 工资购买力(实际工资)。

13. Price Index Extensions (价格指数补充)

Laspeyres Index

  • Base-quantity weights; often overstates inflation — 基期数量权重;通胀或偏高。

Paasche Index

  • Current-quantity weights; often understates inflation — 当期数量权重;通胀或偏低。

Fisher Index

  • Geometric mean; balanced and accurate — 几何平均;更均衡与准确。

14. Terms of Trade (贸易条件)

Terms of Trade = P_X / P_M × 100

  • Higher values indicate more favorable exports — 数值越高出口处境越有利。

Real Exchange Rate = (E × P) / P*

  • Relative price-adjusted exchange rate — 价格水平调整后的汇率指标。